Catastrophic Disasters

Overview

Australia’s disaster prevention, response and recovery strategies primarily target common disasters (such as bushfires, floods and storms). Evidence shows that larger-scale disasters pose an overall greater risk, even if their frequency is lower. If the reader of this document is to die in a disaster, it’s likely to be a catastrophic disaster potentially affecting many millions of other people.

GAP thinks emergency management agencies and state and federal levels systematically neglect lower-likelihood, higher-consequence disasters. This makes their policies and programs less effective than they could be. In the extreme, neglect of these disasters could even lead to loss of national sovereignty or contribute to civilisational collapse or human extinction.

Overall, GAP recommends a much greater focus on risks like nuclear war, space weather, and disasters that can interrupt the food system, such as large volcanic eruptions or supply chain disruptions.